Talk:Moonchance

I don't think the following is correct: "Permission is required for all moonshots from a Game Operator"

--> quote from te rules:

Note: A GameOperator needs to be informed ONLY if the lower ranked player intends to transport resources to the higher ranked one.

62.235.216.116 17:10, 14 January 2009 (UTC)

Size of probability table
Not sure I see the need or the usefulness of continuing the table above 20 chances, why continue it? Br4indead 18:16, 15 April 2009 (UTC)
 * I agree. It should stay as it stands. --Master Bob 02:02, 18 April 2009 (UTC)

The text before the probability table should probably reiterate that even if you've had 20 unsuccessful moonshots the probability of the next one being successful is still only 20%, not 99.0%, as that refers to an overall probability.BobMem 12:20, 11 August 2009 (UTC)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy This table is false. Caseycoold 16:01, January 3, 2010 (UTC)

I added something about this as I was confused myself when I first saw the table, and I'm not statistics-ignorant :p 188.60.87.52 22:23, February 21, 2010 (UTC) Fubar

That's an excellent update and explains it nicely. I've already found that wikipedia page myself and will show it to my ogame buddy who insists "I have a planet which has had 2 moonshots already, according to ogame wiki I've got a 49% chance next time" BobMem 16:56, February 24, 2010 (UTC)

Rounding error
I think there's been a rounding error at Number of 20% moonchanes: 3 Probability of having a moon is said to be 48%, but I get 48.8 when I do the calculation. Should it not be rounded to 49%? --193.229.159.15 14:41, September 11, 2009 (UTC)
 * I have corrected the rounding errors, per your suggestion -- in the future you can just fix simple errors like this. Just be sure to leave an edit summary explaining what you changed :-) 19:51, September 11, 2009 (UTC)

30% Defense to debris?
Any info on defense to debris uni's? Most obvious would just be Rocket Launcher, but other defences could be profitable, especially if they took out some of the attacking fleet, with the "leave it there and forget aobut it" strategy.

76.118.229.15 20:43, April 25, 2012 (UTC)buikler